Monday, October 28, 2013

Precious Metals

Precious Metals Market Update
   Falling dollar
October 28, 2013 – The precious metals markets are on the move, responding mainly to new weakness in the U.S. dollar.

After two years of surprising strength, the dollar index, which compares the dollar to other paper currencies, closed below key support at 80 for the second consecutive week. The outlook for the greenback now looks grim – both from a technical point of view as well as fundamentally. A break below 79 could result in fireworks.

Investors are now expecting Federal Reserve officials at Wednesday's FOMC meeting to table all serious talk of scaling back monetary stimulus – opting instead to continue creating $85 billion in new bank reserves each month, and possibly print money at an even faster clip at some point soon.

After all, Chicago Fed Governor Charles Evans just admitted publicly on CNBC that there is NO LIMIT to how much money creation could take place. "We can go as long as necessary," he concluded.

The reason investors suspect the Fed is throwing in the towel on its "taper" talk is because we've seen some lousy economic data as well as the official nomination of a major stimulus supporter – Berkeley leftist Janet Yellen – to replace Ben Bernanke as Fed Chair in January.

The bullion markets have quietly moved up over the past few days, but bullishness among the public has not yet taken hold. Some prospective buyers may be waiting to see if last week's gains will be sustained.

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Spot Prices
Friday's Close
(Weekly Gain/Loss)
Monday Morning
(Gain/Loss from Friday's Close)
Gold $1,354 (+2.7%) $1,352 (-0.1%)
Silver $22.63 (+3.0%) $22.67 (+0.2%)
Platinum $1,460 (+1.1%) $1,465 (+0.3%)
Palladium $748 (+0.4) $746 (-0.3%)  

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