Sunday, October 05, 2014

Today's snapshot overview of Senate Races


ALERT:  New Polling Data

Michelle Foster here of CCC PAC and I want to tell you: "I'm sorry!"
I'm sorry we've been sending out a high number of emails on the key Senate races for these 2014 Midterm Elections.  And I'm also sorry that some of them contained bad/worrisome news.  One of our supporters wrote to me and said 'you people keep sending these emails to scare us so we'll donate more.'  The woman who sent that email was basically correct.
The past couple of weeks Democrats and their allied liberal interest groups (unions, environmental groups, abortion groups, and organizations like MoveOn.org) have aired millions of dollars of TV and radio ads smearing our Republican Senate candidates in the key election battles.  That deluge of negative ads against Republicans has made an impact in the polling numbers, and unfortunately, it's not been the best week for GOP candidates in the polls.
It's not all bad news - as you can see from the map below, Republicans still hold the lead in several important races, but we have definitely lost ground in the past week.  Here's the headline from Politico this morning reflecting the surge in the polls for the Democrats in several key races:


Below is our latest CCC PAC Election Target map, and you can see where things stand in some of the key races based on the most recent polling data:

One thing you will note from the map above:  in some cases Republicans are running stronger in the polls in traditionally Democratic states than they are in "swing states."  The reason for this is that the Democrats have focused their millions of dollars in negative ads on those competitive states, meaning that Republican candidates in non-swing states haven't been smeared in an endless deluge of Democrat negative TV and radio ads.
We are targeting just over one-dozen U.S. Senate races where we have a chance to win.  In some we are favored to win, in others, we will have to give it our all and hope that outside factors break in our favor.
To help us  win as many of these races as possible we ask that you please make a contribution to our CCC PAC Independent Expenditure fund.  You can make a contribution online - HERE.


Our top Senate Election Targets include:
ALASKA - Democrat incumbent Senator Mark Begich won this Senate seat in the 2008 elections.  He beat his Republican opponent by a razor-thin 47.8% - 46.5% margin, during the year Democrat turnout was exceptionally high given the excitement surrounding Barack Obama's presidential campaign.  We are now well positioned to bring this dark chapter in Alaska to an end and - Defeat Mark Begich.
ARKANSAS - The Arkansas Senate race has been called the most competitive election of the 2014 MIdterm Elections.  Democrat incumbent Senator Mark Pryor won election in 2002 and was re-elected in 2008.  Polls show Pryor in a razor-close election with our Conservative Republican candidate, Tom Cotton.  This race is all going to come down to turnout - in 2012 Mitt Romney managed to win the popular vote in Arkansas over Obama by a 60.5% - 36.9% margin.  If we can turn out Republican and Independent voters we will be successful in our efforts to Defeat Mark Pryor.



COLORADO - Democrat incumbent Senator Mark Udall entered the 2014 election cycle considered to be relatively 'safe' in his re-election efforts.  But then the ObamaCare fiasco was inflicted on the American people, and Udall's office was caught deliberately lying about how many health insurance policies were being canceled for Colorado residents because of ObamaCare.  The latest polls show our Republican candidate, Cory Gardner, has taken the lead and Bill Clinton just announced he was canceling a fundraising appearancance for Udall.  Colorado has been trending more Democratic in recent elections, so we still have a lot of work to do, but if we keep up our efforts we will - Defeat Mark Udall.



GEORGIA - This became an "open" Senate seat when Republican Saxby Chambliss announced he was retiring.  So we must win this Senate race, or else Democrats will add a seat they did not already hold, and it would make it much harder for Republicans to obtain a GOP Majority in the U.S. Senate.  Democrats nominated Michelle Nunn to be their Senate candidate in Georgia, knowing that voters hold former U.S. Senator Sam Nunn in high regard.  Michelle Nunn has been running as a 'conservative' Democrat given the heavy Republican tilt in Georgia.  The strategies by Democrats have worked to some extent for them, as the most recent polls showed Republican David Perdue with only a 1% - 4% lead and the last WSB TV poll actually had Democrat Michelle Nunn ahead by 3%. Our Republican nominee is businessman David Perdue who has made cutting the deficit and repealing ObamaCare two of his top campaign issues.  This race is too close for comfort and we need your help to - Defeat Michelle Nunn.
ILLINOIS - One of the surprises this election cycle has been the U.S. Senate race in Illinois where incumbent Democrat Dick Durbin looks increasingly vulnerable.  Fox News reports that recent polling has Republican Jim Oberweis within 7% of Durbin in the polls.  Durbin has mobilized opposition to his re-election bid through a series of controversial and heavy-handed moves.  Durbin called on the IRS to intimidate conservative non-profit groups, tried to silence Rush Limbaugh and other conservative talk radio hosts through re-imposition of the Fairness Doctorine, and was recently accused of bullying the Walgreens drug store corporation which is based in Illinois.  A Durbin loss would be devastating to Democrats - Durbin is the 2nd highest ranked Democrat in the Senate after Majority Leader Harry Reid and we are working hard each day to - Defeat Dick Durbin.

IOWA - Like Colorado, Iowa was considered a state where Democrats were set to thrive in 2014, but the reality has been much different.  Liberal Democrat Senator Tom Harkin is retiring and Democrats nominated Bruce Braley, who got himself in a world of trouble when he was caught on camera mocking Iowa farmers.  In contrast, our Conservative Republican candidate, Joni Ernst, has stunned political analysts with an inspiring campaign.  An Iowa Republican State Senator, Ernst has also served for 21 years in the U.S. Army Reserves and Iowa National Guard.   Almost every single poll taken in the past two months have shown this race deadlocked, and we need your help to Elect Republican Joni Ernst.
KANSAS - Kansas was never supposed to be a competitive state for the 2014 Midterm Elections.  As Democrats realized that they were struggling in states they thought would be relatively "safe" wins for them, they began to look for opportunities to cushion their losses.  In Kansas, Democrats recruited Greg Orman to run as an "Independent" and then got their Democrat nominee to drop out of the race so as not to split the vote.  Our investigation has revealed that Orman is not "independent" at all, but is a Democrat political donor to Barack Obama, Hillary Clinton, Al Franken, Harry Reid and other top Democrats.  In 2008, Orman filed to run for this very same Senate seat as a Democrat.  Orman supports stronger gun control measures, refused to support the XL pipeline, and is spending millions of dollars of his own money to try and fool Kansas voters and hide his true liberal Democrat background.  It is essential that we Stop Greg Orman.



LOUISIANA - Democrat incumbent Senator Mary Landrieu has been considered one of the more vulnerable Democrat incumbents up for re-election in 2014.  Louisiana's electoral process is a bit different from other states.  They will hold a 'Jungle Primary' on November 4th where the top two vote getters will advance to a January runoff election, where we will ultimately learn who will be the next U.S. Senator from Louisiana - will Landrieu be re-elected, or will she be defeated by a Republican challenger?  As of now the two leading Republicans are Bill Cassidy (favored by many in the Republican establishment) and Rob Maness (favored by most grass roots conservatives and endorsed by Gov. Sarah Palin, Tea Party Express, Conservative Campaign Committee, and countless other conservative leaders and groups).  Bill Cassidy has been dogged by his liberal past, contributing to countless Democrat politicians.  Most ironic, Cassidy contributed to Senator Mary Landrieu's campaign, which would surely undermine his case to voters were he to emerge as the Republican candidate.  We have a much better choice in Air Force veteran and businessman Rob Maness.
MICHIGAN - This was another state Democrats felt comfortable about early in the 2014 election cylce - and now things have completely changed.  Liberal Democrat Senator Carl Levin (a longtime fixture in Michigan politics) is retiring this year and the battle for the Senate seat he held has come down to Liberal Democrat Congressman Gary Peters vs. Conservative Republican Terri Lynn Land, who served as Michigan's Secretary of State.  Democrat Gary Peters has been running as an unabashed liberal, appearing at campaign events with Barack Obama and Joe Biden.  That tactic might have backfired as in this most recent week Rasmussen Reports and Real Clear Politics have both moved this race from "Leans Democrat" to "Toss Up."   If we can raise enough money to keep Republican Terri Lynn Land competitive we can win this race and Defeat Gary Peters.


MINNESOTA -  In 2008 Al Franken 'won' his election to the U.S. Senate by just 312 vote margin in an election many observers believe was "stolen" from Republican Norm Coleman.  The incredibly close margin in the election has made this Senate campaign a closely-watched race among national political observers.  Recent polling showed our Republican candidate, businessman Mike McFadden had surged to within single digits of Al Franken.  Our job is to inform voters of how out of touch Al Franken's record has been and if we can raise enough money to make a strong impression with TV and radio ads we can - Defeat Al Franken.
NEW JERSEY - One of the big surprises of the 2014 Midterm Elections has to be the U.S. Senate race in New Jersey.  Liberal Democrat incumbent Cory Booker won his seat last year in a closer-than-expected Special Election.  Voters in the Garden State have yet to embrace Cory Booker, and new polling shows only 42% of voters support Booker's re-election and only 36% approve of Barack Obama's job performance.  This has created the opportunity for our Republican candidate, Jeff Bell, to win this election in what would be the upset of the year.  With enough money, an aggressive ground game, and the right political climate and we could - Defeat Cory Booker.



NEW MEXICO - The New Mexico Senate election is shaping up to be a potential competitive state.  Incumbent Democrat Senator Tom Udall is the cousin of Colorado Democrat Senator Mark Udall.  Udall is a liberal, voting for Barack Obama's agenda 94% of the time.  Our Republican candidate, Allen Weh, is a true American hero.  Weh is a Colonel in the U.S. Marine Corps Reserves (Ret.) and president of an Albuquerque-based small business.  Weh graduated from the University of New Mexico.  Perhaps most impressively, Weh is a highly-decorated veteran, serving two tours of duty in the Vietnam War, and was activated three times for duty during the Persian Gulf War.  Weh has earned the Silver Star, Legion of Merit, Bronze Star, two Purple Hearts with two gold stars, and the Meritorious Service Medal.  The latest polling data had Weh surging 5% to narrow the gap with Democrat Tom Udall and with a modest TV and radio advertising blitz, we might be able to narrow the gap further and attract national support for our campaign effort to  - Defeat Tom Udall.
NORTH CAROLINA - In 2008 Kay Hagan rode the Obama political wave of support to victory over Republican U.S. Senator Elizabeth Dole.  Hagan won by promosing North Carolina voters she would be a moderate voice who would be independent of party politics.  That was of course an absolute lie.  Kay Hagan has voted for Barack Obama's agenda more than 96% of the time, and has been an active cheerleader for initiatives by both Barack and Michelle Obama.  Republican Thom Tillis is being badly outspent by Democrats, and 10 of the last 10 polls have shown Hagan with a lead.  Recent polling has that lead within 2% - 3%, and with your support we will be able to wage an effective campaign to - Defeat Kay Hagan.
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We will keep you updated on the important developments in these races.

You can make a contribution to our CCC PAC Independent Expenditure Fund online - HERE.

You can contribute any amount from as little as $5 up to the maximum allowed contribution of $5,000.

If you prefer you can also mail in a contribution to our headquarters:

Conservative Campaign Committee
P.O. Box 278855
Sacramento, CA 95827

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